Corpus ID: 235417109

An age-structured SEIR model for COVID--19 incidence in Dublin, Ireland with framework for evaluating health intervention cost

@inproceedings{Jaouimaa2021AnAS,
  title={An age-structured SEIR model for COVID--19 incidence in Dublin, Ireland with framework for evaluating health intervention cost},
  author={Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa and Danielle P. Dempsey and S. V. Osch and Stephen Kinsella and K. Burke and J. Wyse and James Sweeney},
  year={2021}
}
Strategies adopted globally to mitigate the threat of COVID–19 have primarily involved lockdown measures with substantial economic and social costs with varying degrees of success. Morbidity patterns of COVID–19 variants have a strong association with age, while restrictive lockdown measures have association with negative mental health outcomes in some age groups. Reduced economic prospects may also afflict some age cohorts more than others. Motivated by this, we propose a model to describe… Expand

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 43 REFERENCES
Age-structured model for COVID-19: Effectiveness of social distancing and contact reduction in Kenya
TLDR
Two mitigation periods, considered in the study, resulted to reductions in severe and critical cases, attack rates, hospital and ICU bed demands, as well as deaths, with the 190-days period giving higher reductions. Expand
Lockdown Measures and their Impact on Single- and Two-age-structured Epidemic Model for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Mexico
TLDR
The role of lockdown measures in mitigating COVID-19 in Mexico is investigated using a comprehensive nonlinear ODE model and a model involving two sub-populations is explored, to more accurately reflect the observed impact as concerns symptoms and behavior in different age groups. Expand
Extensions of the SEIR Model for the Analysis of Tailored Social Distancing and Tracing Approaches to Cope with COVID-19
TLDR
It is shown that a combination of tailored mechanisms, e.g., the protection of vulnerable groups together with a “trace & isolate” approach, can be effective in preventing a high death toll. Expand
An SEIR Model with Contact Tracing and Age-Structured Social Mixing for COVID-19 outbreak
TLDR
This paper proposes an SEIR model where the contact tracing and age-structured social mixing are incorporated and a formula is derived which is derived for the effective reproduction number which is expressed in terms of reported cases, tracing quantities and social mixing. Expand
The effect of control measures on COVID-19 transmission in South Korea
TLDR
Two major scenarios are studied, considering contributions to infection of the exposed, the quarantined, and the isolated of the COVID-19 outbreak, using an extended age-structured SEIR model with quarantine and isolation compartments. Expand
Projecting social contact matrices in 152 countries using contact surveys and demographic data
TLDR
Estimates of mixing patterns for societies for which contact data such as POLYMOD are not yet available are provided, finding contact patterns are highly assortative with age across all countries considered, but pronounced regional differences in the age-specific contacts at home were noticeable. Expand
Mental health before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in two longitudinal UK population cohorts
TLDR
In both studies, anxiety and depression during the pandemic was greater in younger members, women, those with pre-existing mental/physical health conditions and individuals in socioeconomic adversity, even when controlling for pre-pandemicxiety and depression. Expand
The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study
TLDR
The effects of physical distancing measures on the progression of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan are estimated, suggesting that premature and sudden lifting of interventions could lead to an earlier secondary peak and that sustaining these measures until April would probably help to delay the epidemic peak. Expand
Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases
TLDR
This study provides the first large-scale quantitative approach to contact patterns relevant for infections transmitted by the respiratory or close-contact route, and the results should lead to improved parameterisation of mathematical models used to design control strategies. Expand
Inferring the Structure of Social Contacts from Demographic Data in the Analysis of Infectious Diseases Spread
TLDR
This study provides a numerical approach for the generation of human mixing patterns that can be used to improve the accuracy of mathematical models in the absence of specific experimental data. Expand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...