An Epidemic Model of Violence and Public Support in Civil War

@article{Zhukov2013AnEM,
  title={An Epidemic Model of Violence and Public Support in Civil War},
  author={Yuri M Zhukov},
  journal={Conflict Management and Peace Science},
  year={2013},
  volume={30},
  pages={24 - 52}
}
  • Y. Zhukov
  • Published 1 February 2013
  • Political Science
  • Conflict Management and Peace Science
How do civilians respond to violence in civil war, and how do these responses shape combatants’ coercive strategies? Conventional wisdom expects civilian victimization to backfire, as a security-minded public “balances” against the side posing the greatest threat to its livelihood and survival. Yet combatants often expect a terrorized population to do the opposite, “bandwagoning” with those most willing and capable to inflict harm. Using an epidemic model of popular support dynamics, I explore… 

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