Al Qaeda, the Organization: A Five-Year Forecast

  title={Al Qaeda, the Organization: A Five-Year Forecast},
  author={Peter L. Bergen},
  journal={The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science},
  pages={14 - 30}
  • Peter L. Bergen
  • Published 1 July 2008
  • Sociology
  • The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
Al Qaeda today is a resilient organization, as evidenced by the London attacks of 2005, its resurgence in Pakistan, the deteriorating security situation in Afghanistan, and its influence on the war in Iraq. While al Qaeda is not strong enough to launch an attack inside the United States in the next five years, it will continue to train militants for successful attacks in Europe. Al Qaeda's leadership is likely to remain in place for years, and it is unlikely to lose its safe haven on the Afghan… Expand
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