Affective forecasting: Why can't people predict their emotions?

  title={Affective forecasting: Why can't people predict their emotions?},
  author={Peter Ayton and Alice Pott and Najat Elwakili},
  journal={Thinking \& Reasoning},
  pages={62 - 80}
Two studies explore the frequently reported finding that affective forecasts are too extreme. In the first study, driving test candidates forecast the emotional consequences of failing. Test failers overestimated the duration of their disappointment. Greater previous experience of this emotional event did not lead to any greater accuracy of the forecasts, suggesting that learning about one's own emotions is difficult. Failers' self-assessed chances of passing were lower a week after the test… 
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