Accuracy and artifact: reexamining the intensity bias in affective forecasting.

@article{Levine2012AccuracyAA,
  title={Accuracy and artifact: reexamining the intensity bias in affective forecasting.},
  author={Linda J. Levine and Heather C. Lench and Robin L. Kaplan and Martin A. Safer},
  journal={Journal of personality and social psychology},
  year={2012},
  volume={103 4},
  pages={
          584-605
        }
}
Research on affective forecasting shows that people have a robust tendency to overestimate the intensity of future emotion. We hypothesized that (a) people can accurately predict the intensity of their feelings about events and (b) a procedural artifact contributes to people's tendency to overestimate the intensity of their feelings in general. People may misinterpret the forecasting question as asking how they will feel about a focal event, but they are later asked to report their feelings in… 
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