Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts

  • Steffen Osterloh
  • Published 2006


In this paper the accuracy of a wide range of German business cycle forecasters is assessed for the past 10 years. For this purpose, a data set is used comprising forecasts published on a monthly basis by Consensus Economics. The application of several descriptive as well as statistical measures reveals that the accuracy of the 2-years forecasts is low… (More)


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