A two-step theory and test of the oil curse: the conditional effect of oil on democratization
@article{Houle2018ATT, title={A two-step theory and test of the oil curse: the conditional effect of oil on democratization}, author={Christian Houle}, journal={Democratization}, year={2018}, volume={25}, pages={404 - 421} }
ABSTRACT Does oil impede democratization? This article posits that in order to understand the effect of oil on democratization one has to decompose the transition process into two steps: (1) the ending of the authoritarian regime, which initiates the process; and (2) the subsequent establishment of a democracy rather than an autocracy. I argue that oil has different effects on the two phases of the transition process: while oil has contradictory effects on the likelihood that an authoritarian…
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