A strategy for high‐resolution ensemble prediction. I: Definition of representative members and global‐model experiments

@inproceedings{Molteni2001ASF,
  title={A strategy for high‐resolution ensemble prediction. I: Definition of representative members and global‐model experiments},
  author={Franco Molteni and Roberto Buizza and Chiara Marsigli and Augusto Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi and Tiziana Paccagnella},
  year={2001}
}
In the last few years, tens of alternative weather forecasts have been made available to forecasters by operational ensemble prediction systems. In many forecasting applications, it is useful to identify (possibly in an objective way) a few representative ensemble members, deemed to represent the most interesting weather scenarios. In this paper, a strategy to select representative members (RMs hereafter) from an ensemble prediction is developed, and applied to four cases of medium-range… CONTINUE READING

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