A stochastic model for the probability of malaria extinction by mass drug administration

@inproceedings{PembertonRoss2017ASM,
  title={A stochastic model for the probability of malaria extinction by mass drug administration},
  author={Peter J Pemberton-Ross and Nakul Chitnis and Emilie Pothin and Thomas A Smith},
  booktitle={Malaria Journal},
  year={2017}
}
Mass drug administration (MDA) has been proposed as an intervention to achieve local extinction of malaria. Although its effect on the reproduction number is short lived, extinction may subsequently occur in a small population due to stochastic fluctuations. This paper examines how the probability of stochastic extinction depends on population size, MDA… CONTINUE READING