A stochastic forest fire growth model

  title={A stochastic forest fire growth model},
  author={Den Boychuk and W. John Braun and R. Kulperger and Zinovi L. Krougly and David A. Stanford},
  journal={Environmental and Ecological Statistics},
We consider a stochastic fire growth model, with the aim of predicting the behaviour of large forest fires. Such a model can describe not only average growth, but also the variability of the growth. Implementing such a model in a computing environment allows one to obtain probability contour plots, burn size distributions, and distributions of time to specified events. Such a model also allows the incorporation of a stochastic spotting mechanism. 
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