A revised Brown and Payne model of voting behaviour applied to the 2009 elections in Italy

@article{Forcina2012ARB,
  title={A revised Brown and Payne model of voting behaviour applied to the 2009 elections in Italy},
  author={A. Forcina and M. Gnaldi and B. Bracalente},
  journal={Statistical Methods and Applications},
  year={2012},
  volume={21},
  pages={109-119}
}
When elections are close in time, voters may stick to their preferred party or chose a different option for several reasons; reliable estimates of the amount of transitions across the available options can allow to answer a number of relevant questions about electoral behaviour. We describe a modified version of the model due to Brown and Payne (J Am Stat Assoc 81:453–460, 1986) and argue that it is based on simple, yet realistic, assumptions with a direct interpretation in terms of individual… CONTINUE READING

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