A review of back-calculation techniques and their potential to inform mitigation strategies with application to non-transmissible acute infectious diseases.

@article{Egan2015ARO,
  title={A review of back-calculation techniques and their potential to inform mitigation strategies with application to non-transmissible acute infectious diseases.},
  author={Joseph R. Egan and Ian M. Hall},
  journal={Journal of the Royal Society, Interface},
  year={2015},
  volume={12 106}
}
Back-calculation is a process whereby generally unobservable features of an event leading to a disease outbreak can be inferred either in real-time or shortly after the end of the outbreak. These features might include the time when persons were exposed and the source of the outbreak. Such inferences are important as they can help to guide the targeting of… CONTINUE READING