A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century

@inproceedings{Lawrence2005APO,
  title={A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century},
  author={David M. Lawrence and Andrew F. G. Slater},
  year={2005}
}
[1] The current distribution and future projections of permafrost are examined in a fully coupled global climate model, the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) with explicit treatment of frozen soil processes. The spatial extent of simulated present-day permafrost in CCSM3 agrees well with observational estimates – an area, excluding ice sheets, of 10.5 million km2. By 2100, as little as 1.0 million km2 of near-surface permafrost remains. Freshwater discharge to the Arctic Ocean… CONTINUE READING

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