A model for predicting the transmission rate of malaria from serological data.

Abstract

A model is developed to estimate the duration for which malaria antibody levels in the blood remain high in a closed population. This estimate can be used to calculate the transmission rate within a region, in conjunction with the serological information contained in the population. The model is used on data obtained from a study of malaria in the Philippines and shows excellent agreement. It is subsequently utilised for predictions and seems to be an appropriate vehicle for this purpose.

Cite this paper

@article{Gatton1996AMF, title={A model for predicting the transmission rate of malaria from serological data.}, author={M Gatton and W Hogarth and A Saul and P Dayananda}, journal={Journal of mathematical biology}, year={1996}, volume={34 8}, pages={878-88} }