A mathematically rigorous assessment of the efficiency of quarantining and contact tracing in curbing the COVID-19 epidemic

@article{Lambert2020AMR,
  title={A mathematically rigorous assessment of the efficiency of quarantining and contact tracing in curbing the COVID-19 epidemic},
  author={Amaury Lambert},
  journal={medRxiv},
  year={2020}
}
In our model of the COVID-19 epidemic, infected individuals can be of four types, according whether they are asymptomatic (A) or symptomatic (I), and use a contact tracing mobile phone app (Y) or not (N). We denote by f the fraction of A’s, by y the fraction of Y’s and by R0 the average number of secondary infections from a random infected individual.We investigate the effect of non-electronic interventions (voluntary isolation upon symptom onset, quarantining private contacts) and of… 

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