A flexible Bayesian framework to estimate age- and cause-specific child mortality over time from sample registration data

  title={A flexible Bayesian framework to estimate age- and cause-specific child mortality over time from sample registration data},
  author={Austin E. Schumacher and Tyler H. McCormick and Jonathan Wakefield and Yue Chu and Jamie Perin and Francisco Villavicencio and Noah Simon and Li Liu},
  journal={The Annals of Applied Statistics},
In order to implement disease-specific interventions in young age groups, policy makers in low- and middle-income countries require timely and accurate estimates of age- and cause-specific child mortality. High quality data is not available in countries where these interventions are most needed, but there is a push to create sample registration systems that collect detailed mortality information. Current methods that estimate mortality from this data employ multistage frameworks without… 

Figures from this paper

Estimating causes of maternal death in data-sparse contexts
Understanding the underlying causes of maternal death across all regions of the world is essential to inform policies and resource allocation to reduce the mortality burden. However, in many


Global estimation of child mortality using a Bayesian B-spline Bias-reduction model
A Bayesian penalized B-spline regression model is described for assessing levels and trends in the U5MR for all countries in the world, whereby biases in data series are estimated through the inclusion of a multilevel model to improve upon the limitations of current methods.
Estimating under-five mortality in space and time in a developing world context
A new model to analyze survey data on mortality in a developing world context and examines whether a variety of spatial covariate surfaces can explain the variability in under-five mortality rate.
Child Mortality Estimation 2013: An Overview of Updates in Estimation Methods by the United Nations Inter-Agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation
The 2013 UN IGME estimates provide the most recent assessment of levels and trends in U5MR based on all available data and an improved estimation method that allows for closer-to-real-time monitoring of changes in the U5 MR and takes account of data quality issues.
Levels and Causes of Mortality under Age Five Years
It is argued that including stillbirths in summary measures of child mortality provides a more inclusive assessment of health service provision than the standard convention.
Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970-2016:a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Age-specific and sex-specific all-cause mortality between 1970 and 2016 is estimated for 195 countries and territories and at the subnational level for the five countries with a population greater than 200 million in 2016 and countries with higher life expectancy are identified by comparing observed life expectancy to anticipated life expectancy on the basis of development status alone.
Probabilistic Cause-of-Death Assignment Using Verbal Autopsies
A new statistical tool known as InSilicoVA is developed to classify cause of death using information acquired through verbal autopsy, which shares uncertainty between cause ofdeath assignments for specific individuals and the distribution of deaths by cause across the population.
Reconstructing Past Populations With Uncertainty From Fragmentary Data
A method for simultaneously estimating age-specific population counts, fertility rates, mortality rates, and net international migration flows from fragmentary data that incorporates measurement error is proposed.