A final size relation for epidemic models.


A final size relation is derived for a general class of epidemic mod els, including models with multiple susceptible classes. The derivation depends on an explicit formula for the basic reproduction number of a general class of disease transmission models, which is extended to calculate the basic reproduction number in models with vertical transmission. Applications are given to specific models for influenza and SARS.

Cite this paper

@article{Arino2007AFS, title={A final size relation for epidemic models.}, author={Julien Arino and Fred Brauer and Pauline van den Driessche and James Watmough and Jianhong Wu}, journal={Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE}, year={2007}, volume={4 2}, pages={159-75} }