A Treatise on Probability.

@article{KeynesATO,
  title={A Treatise on Probability.},
  author={John Maynard Keynes},
  journal={Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  volume={18},
  pages={678}
}
  • J. Keynes
  • Published 1 March 1923
  • Mathematics
  • Journal of the American Statistical Association
F.Y. Edgeworth’s Treatise on Probabilities
Probability theory has a central role in Edgeworth’s thought; this paper examines the philosophical foundation of the theory. Starting from a frequentist position, Edgeworth introduced some
A non-probabilist principle of higher-order reasoning
TLDR
Two versions of a new, nonprobabilist principle of epistemic rationality, the special and general versions of the metacognitive, expected relative frequency (MERF) principle are used to explain the rationality of revisions to an agent’s degrees of confidence in propositions based on evidence of the reliability or unreliability of the cognitive processes responsible for them.
THE SUBJECTIVE THEORY OF PROBABILITY1*
  • D. Gillies
  • Philosophy
    The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
  • 1972
The subjective theory of probability emerged as a solution to certain problems which had arisen in the older logical view of probability. According to this logical account, a body of evidence e
The Beginnings of Axiomatic Subjective Probability
We study the origins of the axiomatization of subjective probabilities. Starting with the problem of how to measure subjective probabilities, our main goal was to search for the first explicit uses
Probability, logic and the cognitive foundations of rational belief
  • J. Fox
  • Philosophy
    Journal of Applied Logic
  • 2003
The logic and pragmatics of the representation and alteration of beliefs.
In this thesis, I show the extent to which the distinction between logical rationality (the consistency with a set of assumptions) and pragmatic rationality (the strong tendency of providing benefits
Explanationist Aid for the Theory of Inductive Logic
  • M. Huemer
  • Philosophy
    The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
  • 2009
TLDR
The resulting synthesis of Bayesian and inference-to-best-explanation approaches affords a principled defense of prior probability distributions that support induction.
The Deductivist Theory of Probability and Statistics
This chapter outlines one of three common views of probability and statistics: the deductivist view, discussed through a key proponent, Rudolf Carnap. This theory suggests that logic is the basis of
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Calcolo delle Probabilità
AMONG the sins of omission for which mathematicians and teachers of mathematics might be charged, there is probably none which has so vitally affected our national welfare as the neglect of the study
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Solution d'un problème de probabilité, relatif au jeu de rencontre
1. An urn contains m balls marked a, b, c, d, . . ., that one draws successively each, in order to replace them afterwards. What is the probability that, in two successive drawings, n balls will exit
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Historische Notizen über die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung. 4to
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Über eine neue Serie von Würfelversuchen.
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