A Study of Presidential Campaign Event Effects from 1952 to 1992

@article{Shaw1999ASO,
  title={A Study of Presidential Campaign Event Effects from 1952 to 1992},
  author={Daron R. Shaw},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={1999},
  volume={61},
  pages={387 - 422}
}
  • D. Shaw
  • Published 1999
  • Political Science
  • The Journal of Politics
A persistent argument in political science is that presidential campaign events do not have strong effects because most people (1) are uninformed about issues and candidates, (2) tend to vote based on cues from reliable (partisan) sources about the state of the economy and condition of the country, and (3) face balanced information environments. This study argues that presidential campaign events are multifaceted and their effects are occasionally substantial. The analysis shows that certain… Expand
Presidential Campaigning in the 2002 Congressional Elections
Theories involving coattails, surge and decline, presidential popularity, and the economy ascribe little importance to presidential efforts to influence congressional elections. Since such efforts doExpand
(Where) Do Campaigns Matter? The Impact of National Party Convention Location
The quadrennial presidential nominating conventions are the biggest campaign events of the election cycle. Previous studies find that conventions significantly impact national-level candidateExpand
Do campaigns matter outside the United States? Equilibrium and enlightenment in Korean presidential elections
Do presidential campaigns matter outside the United States? We examine how public opinion responds to campaign events during Korean presidential campaigns. The fundamental variables of the electionExpand
The 2000 Presidential Election and the Foundations of Party Politics: The Economy, Clinton, and the First Phase
The2000PresidentialElectionandtheFoundationsofPartyPolitics is an account of the closest presidential election in modern history. Although a study of just one election, it stakes claims applicable toExpand
Voter Decision Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy
How do citizens respond to campaign events? We explore this question with a unique repeated measures survey design, fielded during the 2000 presidential campaign. We model transitions in support forExpand
Campaign Effects in Theory and Practice
Although scholars debate the influence of election campaigns on electoral decision making, they agree that campaigns do have effects. Empirically identifying the effects of the campaign is notExpand
The Conditional Effects of Competing Messages during Presidential Nominating Conventions
Past research demonstrates that presidential nominating conventions can exercise multiple effects on individual-level opinion; consumption of convention speeches yields opinion more favorable to theExpand
Toward Equilibrium: Fluctuations in Candidate Support during Presidential Campaigns
This paper takes a step towards a better understanding of the context within which campaign events influence public support for candidates in presidential general election campaigns. I revisitExpand
The undecided voters and the economy: Campaign heterogeneity in the 2005 British general election
Research and conventional wisdom suggest that undecided voters are especially prone to campaign persuasion. Little has been done, however, in the way of uncovering the decision pathways followed byExpand
What The Heck Are We Doing in Ottumwa, Anyway? Presidential Candidate Visits and Their Political Consequence
This article investigates the purpose and effects of presidential campaign visits. I recount common strategic rationales for rallies, town hall meetings, impromptu conversations, and the like, andExpand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 100 REFERENCES
Reexamining the "Minimal Effects" Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns
  • S. Finkel
  • Political Science
  • The Journal of Politics
  • 1993
Although much recent work suggests that contemporary presidential campaigns have more powerful electoral effects than were seen in previous decades, there has been little research that examines theExpand
THE EFFECTS OF PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES ON THE ELECTORATE'S PREFERENCES FOR CANDIDATES
Previous research on presidential debates indicates that these events often reinforce citizens' preferences for candidates, but only occasionally lead people to change their choice for president.Expand
Campaigns, National Conditions, and U.S. Presidential Elections
One unresolved debate in election studies concerns the relative importance of political campaigns and the national political and economic climate in determining election outcomes. In this paper, aExpand
Political Corruption and Presidential Elections, 1929-1992
We develop an aggregate model of the presidential vote based on the appropriation of political as well as economic information by a rational voter. We argue that, depending on historical context,Expand
Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Votes are so Predictable
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the U.S. Presidential election can be predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information available months beforeExpand
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President
N important question in political economy A.’ ts how, if at all, economic events affect voting behavior. Although there is by now a fairly large literature devoted to this question,’ there is noExpand
Issue Ownership in Presidential Elections, with a 1980 Case Study
Theory: This paper develops and applies an issue ownership theory of voting that emphasizes the role of campaigns in setting the criteria for voters to choose between candidates. It expectsExpand
The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Analysis
Studies of the electoral consequences of changing econoomic conditions have not becn able to distinguish the effects of macroeconomic conditions on the vote from those of personal financialExpand
The "Turning Point"
Scholars and journalists have long disagreed about the importance of presidential debates for influencing election results and public opinion. This article considers viewers' reactions to the secondExpand
Measuring Change in Party Identification in an Election Campaign
Partisan change in the 1984 election campaign is analyzed in the continuous monitoring studies by the National Election Studies and Decision/Making/Information. More change was found in partisanshipExpand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...