A Simulation Model for Predicting Yacht Match Race Outcomes

  title={A Simulation Model for Predicting Yacht Match Race Outcomes},
  author={Andrew B. Philpott and Shane G. Henderson and D. Teirney},
  journal={Operations Research},
We outline the development of a model for predicting the outcome of a yacht match race between two competing designs. The model is a fixed-time-increment simulation that accounts for the dynamic performance of each yacht. The wind speed and direction are modelled using hidden Markov chain models. Each yacht is assumed to follow a fixed sailing strategy determined by a set of simple decision rules. The simulation models both yachts simultaneously and accounts for interactions between them—for… CONTINUE READING


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