A Signal Detection Framework for the Evaluation of Probabilistic Forecasts


In this paper 1 formulate an approach for evaluating probabilistic forecasts in terms of signal detection theory. Signal detection theory provides a powerful perspective for this type of problem, and a rich empirical background including methodological tools as well as an extensive body of research in many domains. 1 propose procedures which emphasize the… (More)


6 Figures and Tables

Slides referencing similar topics