A Primer on the Understanding, Use, and Calculation of Confidence Intervals that are Based on Central and Noncentral Distributions
@article{Cumming2001APO, title={A Primer on the Understanding, Use, and Calculation of Confidence Intervals that are Based on Central and Noncentral Distributions}, author={Geoff Cumming and Sue Finch}, journal={Educational and Psychological Measurement}, year={2001}, volume={61}, pages={532 - 574} }
Reform of statistical practice in the social and behavioral sciences requires wider use of confidence intervals (CIs), effect size measures, and meta-analysis. The authors discuss four reasons for promoting use of CIs: They (a) are readily interpretable, (b) are linked to familiar statistical significance tests, (c) can encourage meta-analytic thinking, and (d) give information about precision. The authors discuss calculation of CIs for a basic standardized effect size measure, Cohen’s δ (also…
Figures from this paper
474 Citations
A Note on the Use of Confidence Intervals
- Psychology
- 2003
In the wake of repeated long-term criticism of blind reliance on simple hypothesis testing via an observed statistic and a p value, the American Psychological Association currently recommends…
Confidence Intervals for Standardized Effect Sizes: Theory, Application, and Implementation
- Mathematics
- 2007
The behavioral, educational, and social sciences are undergoing a paradigmatic shift in methodology, from disciplines that focus on the dichotomous outcome of null hypothesis significance tests to…
Effect sizes, confidence intervals, and confidence intervals for effect sizes
- Psychology, Education
- 2007
The present article provides a primer on (a) effect sizes, (b) confidence intervals, and (c) confidence intervals for effect sizes. Additionally, various admonitions for reformed statistical practice…
The statistical recommendations of the American Psychological Association Publication Manual: Effect sizes, confidence intervals, and meta‐analysis
- Psychology
- 2012
Abstract Estimation based on effect sizes, confidence intervals, and meta‐analysis usually provides a more informative analysis of empirical results than does statistical significance testing, which…
Reporting point and interval estimates of effect-size for planned contrasts: fixed within effect analyses of variance.
- PsychologyJournal of fluency disorders
- 2004
Computing Correct Confidence Intervals for Anova Fixed-and Random-Effects Effect Sizes
- Mathematics
- 2001
Most textbooks explain how to compute confidence intervals for means, correlation coefficients, and other statistics using “central” test distributions (e.g., t, F) that are appropriate for such…
Effect Size Estimation and Confidence Intervals
- Economics
- 2012
We describe a six-step estimation framework for research that starts with the formulation of research goals in terms of “How much?” questions. Such questions are best answered by effect size (ES)…
Methods for the Behavioral, Educational, and Social Sciences: An R package
- EducationBehavior research methods
- 2007
Methods for the Behavioral, Educational, and Social Sciences implements methods that are not widely available elsewhere, yet are especially helpful for the idiosyncratic techniques used within the behavioral, educational, and social sciences.
Beyond Significance Testing: Reforming Data Analysis Methods in Behavioral Research
- Psychology
- 2004
Practices of data analysis in psychology and related disciplines are changing. This is evident in the longstanding controversy about statistical tests in the behavioral sciences and the increasing…
Summary Plots With Adjusted Error Bars: The superb Framework With an Implementation in R
- Computer ScienceAdvances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science
- 2021
An open-access, open-source library for R—superb—that allows users to create summary plots with easily adjusted error bars to generalize the precision of the results by adjusting them so that they take into account the experimental design and the sampling methodology.
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 66 REFERENCES
Computing Correct Confidence Intervals for Anova Fixed-and Random-Effects Effect Sizes
- Mathematics
- 2001
Most textbooks explain how to compute confidence intervals for means, correlation coefficients, and other statistics using “central” test distributions (e.g., t, F) that are appropriate for such…
Correct Confidence Intervals for Various Regression Effect Sizes and Parameters: The Importance of Noncentral Distributions in Computing Intervals
- Mathematics
- 2001
The advantages that confidence intervals have over null-hypothesis significance testing have been presented on many occasions to researchers in psychology. This article provides a practical…
Colloquium on Effect Sizes: the Roles of Editors, Textbook Authors, and the Publication Manual
- Psychology
- 2001
Reformers have long argued that misuse of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is widespread and damaging. The authors analyzed 150 articles from the Journal of Applied Psychology (JAP)…
Statistical Methods in Psychology Journals: Guidelines and Explanations
- Psychology
- 1999
In the light of continuing debate over the applications of significance testing in psychology journals and following the publication of Cohen's (1994) article, the Board of Scientific Affairs (BSA)…
Theoretical risks and tabular asterisks: Sir Karl, Sir Ronald, and the slow progress of soft psychology.
- Psychology
- 1978
Abstract Theories in “soft” areas of psychology lack the cumulative character of scientific knowledge. They tend neither to be refuted nor corroborated, but instead merely fade away as people lose…
Statistical Significance Testing and Cumulative Knowledge in Psychology: Implications for Training of Researchers
- Psychology
- 1996
Data analysis methods in psychology still emphasize statistical significance testing, despite numerous articles demonstrating its severe deficiencies. It is now possible to use meta-analysis to show…
On sample-size and power calculations for studies using confidence intervals.
- MathematicsAmerican journal of epidemiology
- 1988
How expected confidence intervals, if not properly centered, can be misleading indicators of the discriminatory power of a study and be designed so that the confidence interval has a high probability of not containing at least one plausible but incorrect parameter value.
Past and Future American Psychological Association Guidelines for Statistical Practice
- Psychology
- 2002
We review the publication guidelines of the American Psychological Association (APA) since 1929 and document their advice for authors about statistical practice. Although the advice has been extended…
Reporting Effect Sizes: the Roles of Editors, Textbook Authors, and Publication Manuals
- Education
- 2001
In writing this article, I wear four relevant hats. I have served as a journal editor; I am the author of two undergraduate textbooks (Hyde, 1991; Hyde & DeLamater, 2000); I am chair of the…