A Note on Expectational Stability under Non-Zero Trend Inflation

  title={A Note on Expectational Stability under Non-Zero Trend Inflation},
  author={Teruyoshi Kobayashi and Ichiro Muto},
  journal={Macroeconomics: Prices},
This study examines the expectational stability of the rational expectations equilibria (REE) under alternative Taylor rules when trend inflation is non-zero. We find that when trend inflation is high, the REE is likely to be expectationally unstable. This result holds true regardless of the nature of the data (such as contemporaneous data, forecast, and lagged data) introduced in the Taylor rule. Our results suggest that a high macroeconomic volatility during the period of high trend inflation… 
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