• DOI:10.1101/2020.06.25.20139865
Corpus ID: 220068969

A Logistic Curve in the SIR Model and Its Application to Deaths by COVID-19 in Japan

@article{Shigemoto2020ALC,
  title={A Logistic Curve in the SIR Model and Its Application to Deaths by COVID-19 in Japan},
  author={K. Shigemoto and T. Saito},
  journal={medRxiv},
  year={2020}
}

K. Shigemoto, T. Saito

Published 2020

Medicine

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Approximate solutions of SIR equations are given, ased on a logistic growth curve in the Biology. These solutions are applied to fix the basic reproduction number $alpha$ and the removed ratio $c$, especially from data of accumulated number of deaths in Japan COVID-19. We then discuss the end of the epidemic. These logistic curve results are compared with the exact results of the SIR model. }