A Causal Model of Civil Strife: A Comparative Analysis Using New Indices

@article{Gurr1968ACM,
  title={A Causal Model of Civil Strife: A Comparative Analysis Using New Indices},
  author={Ted Robert Gurr},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  year={1968},
  volume={62},
  pages={1104 - 1124}
}
  • T. Gurr
  • Published 1 December 1968
  • Economics
  • American Political Science Review
This article describes some results of a successful attempt to assess and refine a causal model of the general conditions of several forms of civil strife, using cross-sectional analyses of data collected for 114 polities. The theoretical argument, which is discussed in detail elsewhere, stipulates a set of variables said to determine the likelihood and magnitude of civil strife. Considerable effort was given here to devising indices that represent the theoretical variables more closely than… 

Figures and Tables from this paper

Mass Political Violence: A Cross-National Causal Analysis
Preface This book reports the quantitative empirical research I have been engaged in over the past few years on the casual processes underlying differences across nations in levels of mass political
Determinants of civil wars: a quantitative analysis
In this dissertation, I investigate the conditions that facilitate the civil wars incidences and try to provide a deeper understanding of large scale domestic violence by formulating a new and more
Economic Determinants of Political Unrest
Some degree of political unrest and thus potential for violence exists in all societies at all times. In recent years, the causes of political unrest are attributed to one or more sociopsychological
CROSS-NATIONAL STATISTICAL RESEARCH AND THE STUDY OF COMPARATIVE POLITICS
It is often suggested that cross-national statistical research is excessively narrow and oversimplified, that it is plagued by unique measurement problems, and that it can have few causal
Models, Measurement and Sources of Error: Civil Conflict in Black Africa
Cross-national research is plagued by several methodological problems that threaten to distort results and hence raise questions concerning the adequacy of substantive findings. The extent and impact
Toward a Theory of Intervention: The Limitations and Advantages of a Transnational Perspective
In a recent article, Mitchell ( 1970) sets forth a framework for the analysis of the problem of external intervention in civil strife. This cogent approach provides important insights into the
Sociopolitical and Economic Dimensions of Development: A Cross-Section Model
1 of the most important requisites of development is to cultivate those conditions which are appropriate for the generation of a surplus the distribution of which in turn usually generates friction
Beyond Civil War:A Quantitative Examination of Causes of Violence within Countries
A large quantitative cross-national literature examines why countries are more or less likely to experience civil war. Many of the theories motivating hypotheses about civil war are really arguments
Societal stress, political instability, and levels of military effort
Some countries direct more of their resources to the military than do others. But the question as to why this is so has yet to be answered satisfactorily in a systematic, empirical fashion.' A
Why do civil wars occur? Another look at the theoretical dichotomy of opportunity versus grievance
Abstract The purpose of this article is to review major theoretical arguments with regard to the causes of civil war and identify problems associated with the conceptual juxtaposition of opportunity
...
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 18 REFERENCES
Urban Disorder: Perspectives From the Comparative Study of Civil Strife
48. The same as "Demonstration," with the exception that "Demonstrat ing " refers to an indeterminate numher of continuous demonstrations taking place (either within or across coding units)
Aggressive behaviors within polities, 1948-1962: a cross - national study 1
A recent trend in behavioral research is the systematic and empirical analysis of conflict behaviors both within and among nations. External conflict behaviors among nations are typified by wars,
Political Development and Political Decay
Among the laws that rule human societies,” de Tocqueville said, “there is one which seems to be more precise and clear than all others. If men are to remain civilized or to become so, the art of
The Functions of Social Conflict
Titles in this highly international set consider every problem of socio-political importance that affected society in the years following the Second World War. This set includes important texts by
Psychological Factors in Civil Violence
Until recently many political scientists tended to regard violent civil conflict as a disfigurement of the body politic, neither a significant nor a proper topic for their empirical inquiries. The
Causal Inferences in Nonexperimental Research
Taking an exploratory rather than a dogmatic approach to the problem, this book pulls together materials bearing on casual inference that are widely scattered in the philosophical, statistical, and
The Strategy of Conflict.
I. Elements of a Theory of Strategy 1. The Retarded Science of International Strategy 2. An Essay on Bargaining 3. Bargaining, Communication, and Limited War II. A Reorientation of Game Theory 4.
Freedom in the World's Press: A Fresh Appraisal with New Data
Analysis of experts' ranking of 117 countries on a 9-point scale from freedom to control indicates economic level is most significant factor. Comparison with earlier study shows more gains than
The Politics of Mass Society
Originally published between 1943 and 1969, titles in this set were written against a backdrop of rapid and radical political change. This set contains volumes by key political and sociological
Aggression: A Social Psychological Analysis
While aggression has been probed in its various aspects by every discipline worthy of its name, it remains, in the words of Churchill, &dquo;... a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigmal&dquo;
...
...