A Brownian Model for Recurrent Earthquakes


We construct a probability model for rupture times on a recurrent earthquake source. Adding Brownian perturbations to steady tectonic loading produces a stochastic load-state process. Rupture is assumed to occur when this process reaches a critical-failure threshold. An earthquake relaxes the load state to a characteristic ground level and begins a new… (More)


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@inproceedings{Matthews2002ABM, title={A Brownian Model for Recurrent Earthquakes}, author={Mark V. Matthews and William L Ellsworth and Paul A. Reasenberg}, year={2002} }