A Bayesian method for detecting stellar flares

@article{Pitkin2014ABM,
  title={A Bayesian method for detecting stellar flares},
  author={Matthew Pitkin and D. P. Williams and Lyndsay Fletcher and Samuel D. T. Grant},
  journal={Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society},
  year={2014},
  volume={445},
  pages={2268-2284}
}
We present a Bayesian-odds-ratio-based algorithm for detecting stellar flares in light curve data. We assume flares are described by a model in which there is a rapid rise with a half-Gaussian profile, followed by an exponential decay. Our signal model also contains a polynomial background model required to fit underlying light curve variations in the data, which could otherwise partially mimic a flare. We characterize the false alarm probability and efficiency of this method under the… 
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