A Bayesian Statistical Analysis of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect

  title={A Bayesian Statistical Analysis of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect},
  author={Richard S. J. Tol and A. L. F. de Vos},
This paper demonstrates that there is a robust statistical relationship between the records of the global mean surface air temperature and the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide over the period 1870–1991. As such, the enhanced greenhouse effect is a plausible explanation for the observed global warming. Long term natural variability is another prime candidate for explaining the temperature rise of the last century. Analysis of natural variability from paleo-reconstructions, however… CONTINUE READING
Highly Cited
This paper has 52 citations. REVIEW CITATIONS


Publications citing this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 39 extracted citations

52 Citations

Citations per Year
Semantic Scholar estimates that this publication has 52 citations based on the available data.

See our FAQ for additional information.


Publications referenced by this paper.
Showing 1-10 of 38 references

Climate Change – The IPCC Scientific Assessment

J. T. Houghton, G. J. Jenkins, J. J. Ephraums
View 5 Excerpts
Highly Influenced

Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change – Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

J. J. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, +3 authors K. Maskell

Detecting Greenhouse-Gas Induced Climate Change with an Optimal Fingerprint Method

G. C. Hegerl, H. Von Storch, +3 authors P. D. Jones
J. Clim • 1996
View 1 Excerpt

Subjective judgments by climate experts.

Environmental science & technology • 1995
View 1 Excerpt

Greenhouse Statistics – Time Series Analysis, Part II

R.S.J. Tol
Theor. Appl. Climatol • 1994
View 2 Excerpts

Signal-to-Noise Analysis of Time-Dependent Greenhouse Warming Experiments

B. D. Santer, W. Bruggemann, +4 authors U. Mikolajewics
Clim. Dynam • 1994

Change in Global Temperature: A Statistical Analysis

G. R. Richards
J. Clim • 1993
View 1 Excerpt

Similar Papers

Loading similar papers…