A Bayesian Statistical Analysis of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect

@inproceedings{Tol1998ABS,
  title={A Bayesian Statistical Analysis of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect},
  author={Richard S. J. Tol and A. L. F. de Vos},
  year={1998}
}
This paper demonstrates that there is a robust statistical relationship between the records of the global mean surface air temperature and the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide over the period 1870–1991. As such, the enhanced greenhouse effect is a plausible explanation for the observed global warming. Long term natural variability is another prime candidate for explaining the temperature rise of the last century. Analysis of natural variability from paleo-reconstructions, however… CONTINUE READING
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