A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach to Forecasting the 21st Century Worldwide Status of Polar Bears

@article{Amstrup2013ABN,
  title={A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach to Forecasting the 21st Century Worldwide Status of Polar Bears},
  author={Steven C. Amstrup and Bruce G. Marcot and David C. Douglas},
  journal={Geophysical monograph},
  year={2013},
  volume={180},
  pages={213-268}
}
To inform the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service decision, whether or not to list polar bears as threatened under the Endangered Species Act (ESA), we projected the status of the world's polar bears (Ursus maritimus) for decades centered on future years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2095. We defined four ecoregions based on current and projected sea ice conditions: seasonal ice, Canadian Archipelago, polar basin divergent, and polar basin convergent ecoregions. We incorporated general circulation model… 
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