A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Heterogeneous RCM–GCM Multimodel Ensembles*

@inproceedings{Kerkhoff2015ABH,
  title={A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Heterogeneous RCM–GCM Multimodel Ensembles*},
  author={Christian Kerkhoff and Hans R. K{\"u}nsch and Christoph M. Sch{\"a}r},
  year={2015}
}
AbstractA Bayesian hierarchical model for heterogeneous multimodel ensembles of global and regional climate models is presented. By applying the methodology herein to regional and seasonal temperature averages from the ENSEMBLES project, probabilistic projections of future climate are derived. Intermodel correlations that are particularly strong between regional climate models and their driving global climate models are explicitly accounted for. Instead of working with time slices, a data… CONTINUE READING

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