[Predictability of demographic changes in the short run].

  • De Beer Jaa
  • Published 1985 in Maandstatistiek van de bevolking

Abstract

The author discusses the value of univariate time series models to assess the accuracy of official short-term population forecasts in the Netherlands. "Three time series methods (exponential smoothing, ARIMA-model and structural time series model) are applied to Dutch data on live births, deaths, marriages, immigrants and emigrants." The data concern the… (More)

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