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This paper discusses the application of space-time autoregressive integrated moving average (STARIMA) methodology for representing traffic flow patterns. Traffic flow data are in the form of spatial time series and are collected at specific locations at constant intervals of time. Important spatial characteristics of the space-time process are incorporated(More)
Several univariate and multivariate models have been proposed for performing short term forecasting of traffic flow. In this paper two different univariate (historical average and ARIMA) and two multivariate (VARMA and STARIMA) models are presented and discussed. A comparison of the forecasting performance of these four models is undertaken using datasets(More)
BACKGROUND Zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) is endemic in many rural areas of the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean region where different transmission patterns of the disease have been described. This study was carried out in a region located in Central Tunisia and aimed to investigate the spatio-temporal dynamics of the disease from 1999 to 2004.(More)
This article discusses the application of Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) time series models for representing the dynamics of traffic flow volatility. The methods encountered in the literature so far, focus on the levels of traffic flows while regarding variance constant through time. The approach adopted in this paper(More)
This report summarizes the methodologies and techniques we developed and applied for tackling task 3 of the IEEE ICDM Contest on predicting traffic velocity based on GPS data. The major components of our solution include 1) A pre-processing procedure to map GPS data to the network, 2) A K-nearest neighbor approach for identifying the most similar training(More)
In this paper, we describe our solution for ICDM 2010 Contest Task 2 (Jams), where the task is to predict future where the next traffic jams will occur in morning rush hour, given data gathered during the initial phase of this peak period. Our solution, which is based on an ensemble approach, finished Second in the final evaluation.
Accurate prediction of incident duration is critical for efficient incident management which aims to minimize the impact of non-recurrent congestion. In this chapter, a hybrid tree-based quantile regression method is proposed for incident duration prediction and quantification of the effects of various incident and traffic characteristics that determine(More)
SUMMARY Economic processes are often characterized by spatial autocorrelation: the coincidence of value similarity to locational similarity. As a consequence of spatial autocorrelation, analysts observe spatial regional clusters. Recent advances in the areas of spatial statistics/econometrics offer tools for the investigation of the aforementioned issues.(More)