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The coming acceleration of global population ageing

This work measures the speed of population ageing by using conventional measures and new ones that take changes in longevity into account for the world as a whole and for 13 major regions and indicates a continuous ageing of the world’s population throughout the century.
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The end of world population growth

There is around an 85 per cent chance that the world's population will stop growing before the end of the century, and for different regions, the date and size of the peak population will vary considerably.
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Reconstruction of populations by age, sex and level of educational attainment for 120 countries for 1970-2000

Using demographic multi-state methods for back projecting the populations of 120 countries by age, sex and level of educational attainment from 2000 to 1970 (covering 93 percent of the 2000 world…
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Are User Fees Regressive? the Welfare Implications of Health Care Financing Proposals in Peru

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Projection of Populations by Level of Educational Attainment, Age and Sex for 120 Countries for 2005-2050

Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of…
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Is the Demographic Dividend an Education Dividend?

Using a global panel of countries, it is found that after the effect of human capital dynamics is controlled for, no evidence exists that changes in age structure affect labor productivity and that improvements in educational attainment are the key to explaining productivity and income growth.
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Doubling of world population unlikely

A new probabilistic approach is reported on that makes use of expert opinion on trends in fertility, mortality and migration, and on the 90 per cent uncertainty range of those trends in different parts of the world.
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A New Perspective on Population Ageing

This paper shows that prospective age is, in most cases, insensitive to whether it is measured using period or cohort life tables, and uses the two age concepts in concert to demonstrate how this enriches the understanding of population ageing in developed countries since 1960.
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The Demography of Educational Attainment and Economic Growth

Complementing primary education with secondary education in broad segments of the population is likely to give a strong boost to economic growth.
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Are Individuals’ Desired Family Sizes Stable? Evidence from West German Panel Data

Using West German panel data constructed from the 1988 and 1994/1995 wave of the DJI Familiensurvey, we analyze the stability and determinants of individuals’ total desired fertility. We find…
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