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This course will explore key theories and methods in the study of political violence with a specific focus on insurgency and terrorism. We will focus on the key why's how's and what's in the study of terrorism and insurgency. The focus in the class is less on a specific geographic or substantive area then on learning to think conceptually and theoretically(More)
How can states signal their alliance commitments? Although scholars have developed sophisticated theoretical models of costly signaling in international relations, we know little about which specific policies leaders can implement to signal their commitments. This article addresses this question with respect to the extended deterrent effects of nuclear(More)
This paper is the first to study decriminalization of homosexual acts quantitatively in a cross-national perspective with a large sample of countries over a period of several decades. Employing path dependence as its theoretical framework, this work explains how political, economic and legal institutions at the domestic and the international levels affect(More)
In this paper we present an approach to identifying patterns of behavior preceding political instability events in countries from sampled factor data. This process is based on the concept of state-space back-chaining. A list of sampled, quantized factor data sampled over a range of discrete times define a " state-space " of a country , and the list of(More)
—Is it possible to identify and even forecast well in advance (6-12 months) the relative stability of a state to enable policy makers to successfully intervene? How does one acquire that understanding? One technique is to model and understand the social factors, which summarize the background conditions, attributes and performance factors of the country(More)