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Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases
TLDR
We analyze mobility data from 29 countries around the world and find a gravity model able to provide a global description of commuting patterns up to 300 kms and (ii) integrate in a worldwide-structured metapopulation epidemic model. Expand
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Modeling the Worldwide Spread of Pandemic Influenza: Baseline Case and Containment Interventions
Background The highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza virus, which is now widespread in Southeast Asia and which diffused recently in some areas of the Balkans region and Western Europe, has raised aExpand
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The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics
TLDR
The systematic study of large-scale networks has unveiled the ubiquitous presence of connectivity patterns characterized by large- scale heterogeneities and unbounded statistical fluctuations. Expand
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Analytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks
The time variation of contacts in a networked system may fundamentally alter the properties of spreading processes and affect the condition for large-scale propagation, as encoded in the epidemicExpand
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The Modeling of Global Epidemics: Stochastic Dynamics and Predictability
TLDR
The global spread of emergent diseases is inevitably entangled with the structure of the population flows among different geographical regions. Expand
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Epidemic modeling in complex realities.
TLDR
In our global world, the increasing complexity of social relations and transport infrastructures are key factors in the spread of epidemics. Expand
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Prediction and predictability of global epidemics: the role of the airline transportation network
TLDR
The systematic study of large-scale networks has unveiled the ubiquitous presence of connectivity patterns characterized by large scale hetero geneities and unbounded statistical fluctuations. Expand
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WiFi networks and malware epidemiology
TLDR
In densely populated urban areas WiFi routers form a tightly interconnected proximity network that can be exploited as a substrate for the spreading of malware able to launch massive fraudulent attacks. Expand
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EPIDEMIC PREDICTIONS AND PREDICTABILITY IN COMPLEX ENVIRONMENTS
The spread of epidemics is inevitably entangled with human behavior, social contacts, and population flows among different geographical regions. The collection and analysis of datasets which traceExpand
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Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution
TLDR
The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime. Expand
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