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Looking more closely at the way people form expectations about the possible outcome of the ejection in their electoral district 1 will provide evidence for the first time that strategic voting can be… (More)
What are the electoral consequences of constituency candidates' campaign strategies? This paper focuses on the German case to theoretically and empirically explore this question. Theoretically, it… (More)
Our forecast model for German Bundestag elections relies on three predictors: (1) the popularity of the incumbent chancellor (hence the christening of it as the "Chancellor Model"); (2) the long-term… (More)
Strategic coalition voting assumes that voters cast their vote in a way that maximizes the probability that a preferred coalition will be formed after the election. We identify three decision… (More)
We examine ‘heuristic’ and ‘systematic’ candidate-appraisal strategies within a presidential election context. Controlling for political knowledge, we determine whether individual differences in the… (More)
This ehapter examines how the propensity to strategieally defect from one's preferred party depends on characteristies of voters, parties, and elections. Looking at the amount and sourees of… (More)