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The Strategy of Conflict.
Dynamic models of segregation
The systemic effects are found to be overwhelming: there is no simple correspondence of individual incentive to collective results, and a general theory of ‘tipping’ begins to emerge.
Micromotives and Macrobehavior
"Schelling here offers an early analysis of 'tipping' in social situations involving a large number of individuals."-official citation for the 2005 Nobel Prize Micromotives and Macrobehavior was
The Strategy of Conflict
I. Elements of a Theory of Strategy 1. The Retarded Science of International Strategy 2. An Essay on Bargaining 3. Bargaining, Communication, and Limited War II. A Reorientation of Game Theory 4.
Arms and Influence
Traditionally, Americans have viewed war as an alternative to diplomacy, and military strategy as the science of victory. Today, however, in our world of nuclear weapons, military power is not so
Hockey Helmets, Concealed Weapons, and Daylight Saving
This paper is about binary choices with externalities. These are either-or situations,not choices of degree or quantity. An "externality" is present when you care about my choice or my choice affects
The Promise of Prediction Markets
The ability of groups of people to make predictions is a potent research tool that should be freed of unnecessary government restrictions.
Self-Command in Practice, in Policy, and in a Theory of Rational Choice
An increasingly familiar occurrence for obstetricians is being asked by patients to withhold anesthesia during delivery, and this request is interesting for decision theory, and raises questions of ethics, policy, and physician responsibility.