• Publications
  • Influence
Why Men Rebel.
A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability
Examining onsets of political instability in countries worldwide from 1955 to 2003, we develop a model that distinguishes countries that experienced instability from those that remained stable with a
Minorities at risk: A global view of ethnopolitical conflicts
The turmoil in Yugoslavia, the rebellions of the Kurds and Shi???is in Iraq, the ongoing struggle in South Africa???ethnic conflict continues unabated in many areas of the world.To help us understand
Peoples Versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century
Bespreking van: T.R. Gurr,Peoples versus states. Minorities at risk in the new century Washington:United States Institute of Peace Press ,2000 1-929223-02-1
Tracking Democracy's Third Wave with the Polity III Data
This article reports and analyzes an updated version of the widely-used Polity II dataset, consisting of annual indicators of institutional democracy and autocracy for 161 states spanning the years
State Failure Task Force Report: Phase II Findings
In response to a request from Vice President Al Gore in 1994, the CIA established "The State Failure Task Force," a group of independent researchers to examine comprehensively the factors and forces
A Causal Model of Civil Strife: A Comparative Analysis Using New Indices
This article describes some results of a successful attempt to assess and refine a causal model of the general conditions of several forms of civil strife, using cross-sectional analyses of data
Why Minorities Rebel: A Global Analysis of Communal Mobilization and Conflict since 1945
  • T. Gurr
  • Political Science, Sociology
  • 1 April 1993
Political protest and rebellion by communal groups has become a major impetus to domestic and international political change. This study uses new coded data on 227 communal groups throughout the
Ethnopolitical Rebellion: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the 1980s with Risk Assessments for the 1990s
Theory: A synthetic theoretical model built on both deprivation and resource mobilization arguments is constructed to explain ethnopolitical rebellion for the 1 980s and to provide risk assessments
Peoples Against States: Ethnopolitical Conflict and the Changing World System1994 Presidential Address
  • T. Gurr
  • Political Science
  • 1 September 1994
The post—Cold War surge in so-called tribal conflict is shown here to be the continuation of a trend that began in the 1960s. The main issue of the fifty most serious current ethnopolitical conflicts