• Publications
  • Influence
Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism: The Puzzle of Distributive Politics
Part I. Modalities of Distributive Politics: 1. Between clients and citizens: puzzles and concepts in the study of distributive politics Part II. The Micro-Logic of Clientelism: 2. Gaps betweenExpand
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Crude Democracy: Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes
1. Does oil promote democracy? 2. The foundations of rentier states 3. Resource rents and the political regime 4. Statistical tests on rents and the regime 5. The democratic effect of rents 6.Expand
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Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences
  • T. Dunning
  • Political Science, Psychology
  • 1 September 2012
This unique book is the first comprehensive guide to the discovery, analysis, and evaluation of natural experiments - an increasingly popular methodology in the social sciences. Expand
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Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa
The effect of foreign aid on regime type in recipient countries remains widely debated. In this research note, I argue that a recent focus on “moral hazard†has distracted attention from anotherExpand
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Resource Dependence, Economic Performance, and Political Stability
In many resource-dependent states, elites may face an important trade-off between the economic benefits of diversification and the possibility for future political competition that diversificationExpand
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Improving Causal Inference
Social scientists increasingly exploit natural experiments in their research. This article surveys recent applications in political science, with the goal of illustrating the inferential advantagesExpand
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Ethnic Quotas and Political Mobilization: Caste, Parties, and Distribution in Indian Village Councils
Ethnic quotas are often expected to induce distribution of material benefits to members of disadvantaged groups. Yet, the presence of an ethnic quota does not imply that political mobilization takesExpand
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Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach
1. Introduction: why natural experiments? Part I. Discovering Natural Experiments: 2. Standard natural experiments 3. Regression-discontinuity designs 4. Instrumental-variables designs Part II.Expand
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Cross-cutting Cleavages and Ethnic Voting: An Experimental Study of Cousinage in Mali
Social scientists often attribute moderation of the political salience of ethnicity in ethnically diverse societies to the presence of cross-cutting cleavages—that is, to dimensions of identity orExpand
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