• Publications
  • Influence
The risk concept - historical and recent development trends
  • T. Aven
  • Sociology, Computer Science
  • Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf.
  • 1 March 2012
TLDR
This paper presents a set of constructed development paths for the risk concept and concludes that over the last 15–20 years we have seen a shift from rather narrow perspectives based on probabilities to ways of thinking which highlight events, consequences and uncertainties. Expand
  • 348
  • 34
Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation
  • T. Aven
  • Engineering, Computer Science
  • Eur. J. Oper. Res.
  • 16 August 2016
TLDR
Risk assessment and management was established as a scientific field some 30–40 years ago, but many advances have been made, linked to both the theoretical platform and practical models and procedures. Expand
  • 412
  • 30
On how to define, understand and describe risk
  • T. Aven
  • Computer Science
  • Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf.
  • 1 June 2010
TLDR
The prevailing perspectives and definitions of risk, at least in the engineering community, are based on probabilities. Expand
  • 242
  • 22
Foundations of risk analysis
Foundations of risk analysis , Foundations of risk analysis , کتابخانه دیجیتال جندی شاپور اهواز
  • 205
  • 19
Foundations of risk analysis : a knowledge and decision-oriented perspective
  • T. Aven
  • Computer Science
  • 7 November 2003
Preface. 1 Introduction. 1.1 The Importance of Risk and Uncertainty Assessments. 1.2 The Need to Develop a Proper Risk Analysis Framework. Bibliographic Notes. 2 Common Thinking about Risk and RiskExpand
  • 206
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EXPRESSING AND COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY IN RELATION TO QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS
A quantitative risk analysis (QRA) should provide a broad, informative and balanced picture of risk, in order to support decisions. To achieve this, a proper treatment of uncertainty is aExpand
  • 119
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  • PDF
Some considerations on the treatment of uncertainties in risk assessment for practical decision making
  • T. Aven, E. Zio
  • Mathematics, Computer Science
  • Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf.
  • 2011
TLDR
This paper discusses the challenges involved in the representation and treatment of uncertainties in risk assessment, taking the point of view of its use in support to decision making. Expand
  • 255
  • 13
On the meaning of a black swan in a risk context
In recent years there has been much focus on the so-called black swans in relation to risk management and decision making under uncertainty. A key issue has been the ability of risk assessment andExpand
  • 86
  • 12
On some recent definitions and analysis frameworks for risk, vulnerability, and resilience.
  • T. Aven
  • Computer Science, Medicine
  • Risk analysis : an official publication of the…
  • 1 April 2011
TLDR
A systems-based approach to risk, vulnerability, and resilience analysis, presented and discussed by Haimes. Expand
  • 239
  • 11
Misconceptions of Risk
Preface. Acknowledgements. 1 Risk is Equal to the Expected Value. 2 Risk is a Probability or Probability Distribution. 3 Risk Equals a Probability Distribution Quantile (Value-at-Risk). 4 Risk EqualsExpand
  • 97
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