T. M. R. L. B. Abeysinghe

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This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country affects other countries’ GDP. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects as a shock is transmitted through output fluctuations and introduces a new specification strategy that reduces the number of unknowns and allows cross-country relationships to vary over(More)
Chinese cultural patterns of birthing tend to follow a long cycle of a year or more and an annual seasonal cycle. Data on seasonality of births by month of occurrence are modeled with a Box/Jenkins seasonal model with a deterministic seasonality and a stochastic seasonality for Chinese populations in Singapore (1961-86), Malaysia (1966-85), Hong Kong(More)
"Measures of Canadian fertility (total fertility rate and fifteen-year age-specific fertility rate...) and relative cohort size (population aged 30-64 years divided by population aged 15-29 years) show a close co-movement between 1940 and 1976 but record a marked departure since then. The application of cointegration techniques to these series (1921-1988)(More)
This paper presents a structural VAR model that links gross domestic product of twelve economies, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China, Japan, USA and the OECD group excluding Japan, South Korea and the US. The model utilizes 132 bilateral export share series to link up the GDP series. One important(More)
Long series of quarterly GDP ®gures are still not available for many countries. This paper suggests an empirical procedure adapted from Chow and Lin (1971) to derive quarterly estimates from annual GDP ®gures and produces quarterly GDP by sectors for Malaysia from 1973Q1 onwards. A comparison of these estimates with some univariate interpolations using(More)
The rise of China as an economic powerhouse has caused concerns in its neighbors. Prevailing in the region is the fear that China is becoming a gigantic ‘‘regional factory’’ that will ‘‘hollow out’’ neighboring economies’ industries. In this paper, we emphasize the economic benefits that a rising Chinese economy can bring into the region. A discussion on(More)