Susie ElSaadany

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Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) has been considered infectious since the mid-1960s, but its transmissibility through the transfusion of blood or blood products is controversial. The causative agent's novel undefined nature and resistance to standard decontamination, the absence of a screening test, and the recognition that even rare cases of transmission(More)
Using expert judgment data from the TU Delft's expert judgment data base, we compare the performance of different weighting schemes, namely equal weighting, performance based weighting from the classical model (Cooke, 1991), social network weighting and likelihood weighting. The picture that emerges with regard to social network weights is rather mixed. SN(More)
We propose a mathematical model describing the dynamics of hepatitis B or C virus infection. The method of characteristics reduces the age-structured model to a system of differential equations with distributed delay. The model is rigorously analyzed, and a detailed stability analysis is performed. The model, consisting of two mutually exclusive(More)
INTRODUCTION A descriptive epidemiological analysis to update trends of Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) deaths, from 1979-2001, was undertaken. METHODS Cases with CJD as underlying cause were extracted. Age-adjusted death rates by age, sex, and province were calculated. Information on birthplace, autopsy indications and type of work were examined for(More)
Much uncertainty surrounds transmission of transmissible spongiform encephalopathies (TSEs) through blood and blood derived products. A first expert elicitation with 14 experts was conducted in March 2008, and a second re-elicitation involving 11 experts was held a year later in March 2009. Both expert groups were calibrated using a series of seed questions(More)
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