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The Wright--Fisher model and its approximating diffusion model are compared in terms of the expected value of a smooth but arbitrary function of nth-generation gene frequency. In the absence of selection, this expectation is shown to differ in the two models by at most a linear combination (with coefficients depending only on the derivatives of the smooth… (More)

- S N Ethier
- 2014

Petrov constructed a diffusion process in the compact Kingman simplex whose unique stationary distribution is the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution of Pitman and Yor. We show that the subset of the simplex comprising vectors whose coordinates sum to 1 is the natural state space for the process. In fact, the complementary set acts like an entrance… (More)

- S N Ethier, Davar Khoshnevisan
- 2001

Consider a wager that is more complicated than simply winning or losing the amount of the bet. For example, a pass line bet with double odds is such a wager, as is a bet on video poker using a specified drawing strategy. We are concerned with the probability that, in an independent sequence of identical wagers of this type, the gambler loses L or more… (More)

- S N Ethier, Jiyeon Lee
- 2009

That there exist two losing games that can be combined, either by random mixture or by nonran-dom alternation, to form a winning game is known as Parrondo's paradox. We establish a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for the Parrondo player's sequence of profits, both in a one-parameter family of capital-dependent games and in a… (More)

We study Toral's Parrondo games with N players and one-dimensional spatial dependence as modified by Xie et al. Specifically, we use computer graphics to sketch the Parrondo and anti-Parrondo regions for 3 ≤ N ≤ 9. Our work was motivated by a recent paper of Li et al., who applied a state space reduction method to this model, reducing the number of states… (More)

There are many situations in which grain distributions resulting from in situ hybridization of radioactively labeled probes to unique genes should be subjected to a statistical analysis. However, the problems posed by analysis of in situ hybridization data are not straightforward, and no completely satisfying method is currently available. We have developed… (More)

Assuming that cards are dealt with replacement from a single deck and that each of Player and Banker sees the total of his own two-card hand but not its composition, baccara is a 2 × 2 88 matrix game, which was solved by Kemeny and Snell in 1957. Assuming that cards are dealt without replacement from a d-deck shoe and that Banker sees the composition of his… (More)

- S N Ethier, Thomas G Kurtz
- 1996

Fleming᎐Viot processes are probability-measure-valued diffusion processes that can be used as stochastic models in population genetics. Here we use duality methods to prove ergodic theorems for Fleming᎐Viot processes, including those with recombination. Coupling methods are also used to establish ergodicity of Fleming᎐Viot processes, first without and then… (More)

- S N Ethier
- 2013

A formula for the number of toroidal m × n binary arrays, allowing rotation of the rows and/or the columns but not reflection, is known. Here we find a formula for the number of toroidal m × n binary arrays, allowing rotation and/or reflection of the rows and/or the columns.

- S N Ethier, Jiyeon Lee
- 2009

The antique Mills Futurity slot machine has two unusual features. First, if a player loses 10 times in a row, the 10 lost coins are returned. Second, the payout distribution varies from coup to coup in a manner that is nonrandom and periodic with period 10. It follows that the machine is driven by a 100-state irreducible period-10 Markov chain. Here we… (More)