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Most quantitative studies of climate-change policy attempt to predict the greenhouse-gas reduction plan that will have the optimum balance of long-term costs and benefits. We find that the large uncertainties associated with the climate-change problem can make the policy prescriptions of this traditional approach unreliable. In this study, we construct a(More)
PREFACE TRADOC Analysis Center (TRAC) asked the Arroyo Center to develop a framework for performing credible analysis using Distributed Interactive Simulation (DIS). This documented briefing reports on research that extends and demonstrates the credible analysis framework. The Focused Dispatch Advanced Warfighting Experiment (AWE), really a series of(More)