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We consider the pricing of a range of volatility derivatives, including volatility and variance swaps and swaptions. Under risk-neutral valuation we provide closed-form formulae for volatility-average and variance swaps for a variety of diffusion and jump-diffusion models for volatility. We describe a general partial differential equation framework for(More)
A new simple model of financial market is proposed, based on the sequential and inter-temporal nature of trader-trader interaction, and on a new simple trading strategy space. In this pattern-based speculation model, the traders open and close their positions explicitly. Information ecology is strikingly similar to that of the Minority Game which suggest to(More)
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Networks are a convenient way to represent complex systems of interacting entities. Many networks contain " communities " of nodes that are more densely connected to each other than to nodes in the rest of the network. In this paper, we investigate the detection of communities in temporal networks represented as multilayer networks. As a focal example, we(More)
This paper investigates option prices in an incomplete stochastic volatility model with correlation. In a general setting, we prove an ordering result which says that prices for European options with convex payoffs are decreasing in the market price of volatility risk. As an example, and as our main motivation, we investigate option pricing under the class(More)
We discuss the 'continuity correction' that should be applied to connect the prices of discretely sampled American put options (i.e. Bermudan options) and their continuously-sampled equivalents. Using a matched asymptotic expansions approach we compute the correction and relate it to that discussed by Broadie, Glasserman & Kou (Mathematical Finance 7, 325(More)
We discuss the 'continuity correction' that should be applied to relate the prices of discretely sampled barrier options and their continuously-sampled equivalents. Using a matched asymptotic expansions approach we show that the correction of Broadie, Glasserman & Kou (Mathematical Finance 7, 325 (1997)) can be applied in a very wide variety of cases. We(More)
The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological, and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes ("extreme events"). We study the large, internal changes produced in a generic multiagent population competing for a limited resource, and find that the level of predictability increases(More)