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Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia
Highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza A viruses are now endemic in avian populations in Southeast Asia, and human cases continue to accumulate. Although currently incapable of sustained human-to-humanExpand
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Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings
Swine Flu Benchmark The World Health Organization (WHO) announced on 29 April 2009, a level-5 pandemic alert for a strain of H1N1 influenza originating in pigs in Mexico and transmitting from humanExpand
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Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies.
The dynamics of viral shedding and symptoms following influenza virus infection are key factors when considering epidemic control measures. The authors reviewed published studies describing theExpand
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A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics
Abstract The quantification of transmissibility during epidemics is essential to designing and adjusting public health responses. Transmissibility can be measured by the reproduction number R, theExpand
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Association between Zika virus and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013–15: a retrospective study
BACKGROUND The emergence of Zika virus in the Americas has coincided with increased reports of babies born with microcephaly. On Feb 1, 2016, WHO declared the suspected link between Zika virus andExpand
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Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States.
BACKGROUND As of June 11, 2009, a total of 17,855 probable or confirmed cases of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) had been reported in the United States. Risk factors for transmission remain largelyExpand
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Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data
The threat posed by the highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza virus requires public health authorities to prepare for a human pandemic. Although pre-pandemic vaccines and antiviral drugs mightExpand
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Estimates of the reproduction number for seasonal, pandemic, and zoonotic influenza: a systematic review of the literature
BackgroundThe potential impact of an influenza pandemic can be assessed by calculating a set of transmissibility parameters, the most important being the reproduction number (R), which is defined asExpand
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Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus: quantification of the extent of the epidemic, surveillance biases, and transmissibility
Summary Background The novel Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) had, as of Aug 8, 2013, caused 111Expand
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A Bayesian MCMC approach to study transmission of influenza: application to household longitudinal data.
We propose a transmission model to estimate the main characteristics of influenza transmission in households. The model details the risks of infection in the household and in the community at theExpand
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