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Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England: Insights from linking epidemiological and genetic data
The SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, now designated Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC) by Public Health England, originated in the UK in late Summer to early Autumn 2020. We examine epidemiologicalExpand
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Floristic Composition and Change in Species Diversity over Long Temporal Scales in Upper Bhotekoshi Hydropower Project Area in Nepal
Forest and vegetation of particular ecosystem is generally influenced by external factors especially from development activities. Nepal has been endowed with an immense variety of forest resourcesExpand
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Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States
Following initial declines, in mid 2020, a resurgence in transmission of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has occurred in the United States and parts of Europe. Despite the wide implementation ofExpand
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A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom
We propose and describe a model for the COVID-19 epidemic of the United Kingdom at the level of local authorities. The model fits within a general framework for semi-mechanistic Bayesian models ofExpand
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Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data
Knowing COVID-19 epidemiological distributions, such as the time from patient admission to death, is directly relevant to effective primary and secondary care planning, and moreover, the mathematicalExpand
Inference of malaria transmission dynamics under varying assumptions about the spatial scale of transmission: a modelling study in three elimination settings
Background: Individual-level geographic information about malaria cases, such as the GPS coordinates of residence or health facility, is often collected as part of surveillance in near-eliminationExpand
Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings
Developing new methods for modelling infectious diseases outbreaks is important for mon- itoring transmission and developing policy. In this paper we propose using semi-mechanistic Hawkes ProcessesExpand
Quantifying arbovirus disease and transmission risk at the municipality level in the Dominican Republic: the inception of Rm
Arboviruses remain a significant cause of morbidity, mortality and economic cost across the global human population. Epidemics of arboviral disease, such as Zika and dengue, also cause significantExpand
The Ecological Structure of Mosquito Population Dynamics: Insights from India
Understanding the temporal dynamics (including the start, duration and end) of malaria transmission is key to optimising various control strategies, enabling interventions to be deployed at timesExpand