• Publications
  • Influence
The purpose of this text is to begin the process of developing a working familiarity with some of these key mathematical concepts. As your studies in the life sciences become more specialized youExpand
On the promotion of safe and socially beneficial artificial intelligence
  • S. Baum
  • Computer Science
  • 1 November 2017
Efforts to promote beneficial AI must consider intrinsic factors by studying the social psychology of AI research communities, and intrinsic measures are at least as important as extrinsic measures. Expand
Description, Prescription and the Choice of Discount Rates
The choice of discount rates is a key issue in the analysis of long-term societal issues, in particular environmental issues such as climate change. Approaches to choosing discount rates areExpand
Analyzing and Reducing the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear War between the United States and Russia
This paper develops a mathematical modeling framework using fault trees and Poisson processes for analyzing the risks of inadvertent nuclear war from U.S. or Russian misinterpretation of false alarmsExpand
A Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy
  • S. Baum
  • Political Science
  • 12 November 2017
Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is AI that can reason across a wide range of domains. It has long been considered the “grand dream” or “holy grail” of AI. It also poses major issues of ethics,Expand
Risk and resilience for unknown, unquantifiable, systemic, and unlikely/catastrophic threats
  • S. Baum
  • Engineering
  • Environment Systems and Decisions
  • 17 June 2015
Risk and resilience are important paradigms for analyzing and guiding decisions about uncertain threats. Resilience has sometimes been favored for threats that are unknown, unquantifiable, systemic,Expand
Would contact with extraterrestrials benefit or harm humanity? A scenario analysis
While humanity has not yet observed any extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI), contact with ETI remains possible. Contact could occur through a broad range of scenarios that have varying consequencesExpand
Is Humanity Doomed? Insights from Astrobiology
Astrobiology, the study of life in the universe, offers profound insights into human sustainability. However, astrobiology is commonly neglected in sustainability research. This paper develops threeExpand
Universalist Ethics in Extraterrestrial Encounter
If humanity encounters an extraterrestrial civilization, or if two extraterrestrial civilizations encounter each other, then the outcome may depend not only on the civilizations’ relative strength toExpand
A Model for the Probability of Nuclear War
The probability of nuclear war is a major factor in many important policy questions, but it has gotten little scholarly attention. This paper presents a model for calculating the total probability ofExpand