Preface 1. Introduction: radical probabilism 2. Valuation an dacceptance of scientific hypotheses 3. Probable knowledge 4. Probability and the art of judgment 5. Bayesianism with a human face 6.… Expand

The first beginning logic text to employ the tree method--a complete formal system of first-order logic that is remarkably easy to understand and use--this text allows students to take control of the… Expand

1. Probability primer 2. Testing scientific theories 3. Probability dynamics collaboration 4. Expectation primer 5. Updating on statistics 6. Choosing.

"[This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."-Frederic Schick, "Journal of Philosophy"

What's a Bayesian? Well, I'm one, for example. But not according to Clark Glymour (1980, pp. 68-69) and some other definers of Bayesianism and personalism, such as Ian Hacking (1967, p. 314) and… Expand

One of the things I’d like to see come out of this conference is a clarification of the issues between Isaac Levi and me.1 I take it that Levi’s scruples about partial belief and probability… Expand