• Publications
  • Influence
The Delusion of Impartial Intervention
Physicians have a motto that peacemakers would do well to adopt: "First, do no harm." Neither the United States nor the United Nations have quite grasped this. Since the end of the Cold War unleashedExpand
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Surprise Attack: Lessons for Defense Planning
Long before Germany's blitzkrieg swept the West, European leaders had received many signals of its imminence. Stalin, too, had abundant warning of German designs on Russia but believed that byExpand
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Enemies of Intelligence: Knowledge and Power in American National Security
Preface 1. Twenty-first-Century Intelligence: New Enemies and Old 2. Permanent Enemies: Why Intelligence Failures Are Inevitable 3. Theory Traps: Expertise as an Enemy 4. Incorruptibility orExpand
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Is Strategy an Illusion?
  • R. K. Betts
  • Political Science
  • International Security
  • 1 October 2000
Strategy is the essential ingredient for making war either politically effective or morally tenable. It is the link between military means and political ends, the scheme for how to make one produceExpand
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Nuclear Blackmail and Nuclear Balance
In numerous crises after World War II--Berlin, Korea, the Taiwan Straits, and the Middle East--the United States resorted to vague threats to use nuclear weapons in order to deter Soviet or ChineseExpand
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Wealth, Power, and Instability: East Asia and the United States after the Cold War
I E a s t Asia is becoming a more important interest to the United States at the same time that it is becoming less stable as an arena of great power interaction.’ This is a bad combination,Expand
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A Nuclear Iran: Promoting Stability or Courting Disaster?
ON 8 FEBRUARY 2007, at the Kellogg Conference Center at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA), the Journal of International Affairs and the Middle East InstituteExpand
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The New Threat of Mass Destruction
Since the Cold War, other matters have displaced strategic concerns on the foreign policy agenda, and that agenda itself is now barely on the public's radar screen. Apart from defense policyExpand
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Should Strategic Studies Survive?
Political science attends to causes and consequences of war but only fitfully welcomes study of its conduct, because few grasp how much the dynamics of combat shape politics. Bernard Brodie calledExpand
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Analysis, War, and Decision: Why Intelligence Failures Are Inevitable
Strategic intelligence failures cannot be prevented by organizational solutions to problems of analysis and communication. Analytic certainty is precluded by ambiguity of evidence, ambivalence ofExpand
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